Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000515 0.000573 0.000636 0.000710 0.000793 0.000886 0.000997
2025-11-30 0.000420 0.000499 0.000593 0.000712 0.000861 0.001042 0.001282
2025-12-07 0.000366 0.000457 0.000570 0.000725 0.000931 0.001201 0.001588
2025-12-14 0.000325 0.000421 0.000548 0.000728 0.000983 0.001338 0.001884
2025-12-21 0.000299 0.000401 0.000540 0.000746 0.001054 0.001508 0.002251
2025-12-28 0.000269 0.000370 0.000512 0.000731 0.001072 0.001598 0.002511
2026-01-04 0.000247 0.000348 0.000495 0.000729 0.001108 0.001719 0.002838
2026-01-11 0.000230 0.000331 0.000482 0.000730 0.001146 0.001848 0.003200
2026-01-18 0.000216 0.000317 0.000472 0.000734 0.001189 0.001990 0.003610
2026-01-25 0.000202 0.000302 0.000459 0.000731 0.001220 0.002112 0.004005
2026-02-01 0.000192 0.000292 0.000453 0.000740 0.001271 0.002279 0.004524
2026-02-08 0.000180 0.000279 0.000440 0.000734 0.001295 0.002395 0.004959
2026-02-15 0.000170 0.000267 0.000428 0.000730 0.001324 0.002531 0.005482
2026-02-22 0.000161 0.000257 0.000420 0.000733 0.001367 0.002706 0.006145
2026-03-01 0.000155 0.000251 0.000417 0.000746 0.001431 0.002937 0.007015
2026-03-08 0.000147 0.000243 0.000411 0.000749 0.001476 0.003133 0.007848
2026-03-15 0.000143 0.000239 0.000412 0.000769 0.001558 0.003432 0.009066
2026-03-22 0.000134 0.000227 0.000396 0.000753 0.001560 0.003533 0.009720
2026-03-29 0.000128 0.000220 0.000388 0.000751 0.001593 0.003720 0.010711
2026-04-05 0.000123 0.000213 0.000382 0.000752 0.001633 0.003933 0.011865
2026-04-12 0.000118 0.000207 0.000377 0.000756 0.001681 0.004179 0.013225
2026-04-19 0.000113 0.000201 0.000370 0.000753 0.001712 0.004381 0.014505
2026-04-26 0.000110 0.000197 0.000367 0.000762 0.001774 0.004690 0.016338